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2016 Year in Review
Read more: 2016 Year in ReviewEconomic Overview The dangers of basing investment strategies on media forecasts were highlighted dramatically in 2016 as the outcome of major world events and the market reaction to them confounded pundits. The major news event was Donald Trump’s US presidential election win. The Republican outsider defeated Democrat Hilary Clinton on a platform that tapped into voter anger at “insider” politics and the effects of globalisation. Similar sentiments also fueled the mid-year vote by Britons to leave the European Union, again a largely unheralded result that led to the resignation of Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron. Despite these potentially destabilising events,…
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2016 September Quarter Review
Read more: 2016 September Quarter ReviewEconomic Overview It was mostly a positive quarter for markets, with volatility across equities and fixed income being much lower compared to recent quarters. In the US, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, but provided a more optimistic assessment of economic conditions at its July meeting, deeming that the risks in the near term had diminished. In Europe, economic data continued to indicate lacklustre growth and low inflation. Annual inflation ticked up in September to 0.4% from 0.2% in August while GDP expanded by 0.3% in Q2, slowing from 0.6% in Q1. In the UK, equities moved higher as…
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2016 June Quarter Review
Read more: 2016 June Quarter ReviewEconomic OverviewGlobal equity and bond markets offered generally solid returns despite the late quarter uncertainty generated by the United Kingdom’s referendum result in favour of leaving the European Union.The economic news was mixed in the quarter. In the US, the Federal Reserve left its official interest rates unchanged in June, saying before it increased interest rates again it needed to see clear signs of economic strength before. US GDP grew at an annual rate of 1.1% in the first quarter. China in April reported annual GDP growth of 6.7% for the first quarter, representing a continuing slowdown from growth rates…
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2016 March Quarter Review
Read more: 2016 March Quarter ReviewEconomic Overview China, commodities and central banks were the focus for global investors in a volatile quarter that swung from fear about global growth prospects to relative confidence. In China, data showed factory output growing at its slowest pace in eight years and investment at its weakest in at least five years. Beijing is seeking to transition the economy to a slower but more sustainable rate of growth, based less on investment and more on domestic consumption. Both demand and supply concerns continued to weigh on commodity prices and emerging markets early in the quarter, but signals from the US…
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